UFC Cage Locks: Flyweight fisticuffs headline UFC’s return to Edmonton

On Nov 1, 2024

Forward of every UFC occasion in 2024, UFC reporter Aaron Bronsteter (@aaronbronsteter), producer Dan Fernandes (@DanFernandes__) and author/editor Mike Johnston (@MikeyJ_MMA) will peruse the chances and make 4 betting predictions: one lock every to mix for a three-leg parlay, plus one extra favorite, underdog and dart throw wager.

It has been greater than 5 years because the UFC lasted hosted an occasion in Edmonton, however the group returns to the Alberta capital this weekend with a 14-fight card that includes a number of former world champions, fan favourites and a number of the greatest fighters popping out of Canada.

Saturday’s Struggle Night time is headlined by former males’s flyweight champion Brandon Moreno, one of the vital completed 125-pound rivals in UFC historical past who’s steadily climbing the division’s all-time rankings in a number of statistical classes corresponding to appearances, wins, in-cage struggle time, important strikes landed, finishes, bonuses and most different main classes.

His opponent, Amir Albazi, is 5-0 within the UFC and looking out to set up himself as a respectable risk to the highest of the division. A win over Moreno would just do that.

Flyweight motion can be within the co-main occasion highlight when Rose Namajunas and Erin Blanchfield compete in a bout scheduled as a five-rounder. This matchup was initially introduced as the primary occasion so this 125-pound matchup is a co-main occasion within the truest sense.

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That is the sixteenth occasion in UFC historical past at which a minimum of seven Canadian fighters have been scheduled to compete.

UFC Struggle Night time

Watch UFC Struggle Night time: Moreno vs Albazi on Sportsnet 360 and Sportsnet+, with protection starting Saturday at 6 p.m. ET / 3 p.m. PT.

Broadcast schedule

Beneath are the whole predictions for UFC Edmonton.

MAIN CARD

— Brandon Moreno vs. Amir Albazi

— Erin Blanchfield vs. Rose Namajunas

— Derrick Lewis vs. Jhonata Diniz

— Caio Machado vs. Brendson Ribeiro

— Marc-André Barriault vs. Dustin Stoltzfus

— Mike Malott vs. Trevin Giles

PRELIMINARY CARD

— Aiemann Zahabi vs. Pedro Munhoz

— Ariane Da Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius

— Charles Jourdain vs. Victor Henry

— Jack Shore vs. Youssef Zalal

— Alexander Romanov vs. Rodrigo Nascimento

— Serhiy Sidey vs. Garrett Armfield

— Chad Anheliger vs. Cody Gibson

— Jamey-Lyn Horth vs. Ivana Petrovic

Editor’s Observe: Playing issues aren’t solely about shedding cash. They happen on a continuum, and might have an effect on an individual’s complete life. To be taught extra about growing a wholesome relationship to playing, and to discover sources for assist, click on right here.

CAGE LOCKS

Which end result do we predict is absolutely the most secure guess on the cardboard? Every will decide our “lock” of the week to put collectively a “three-headed monster parlay.”

Aaron: Lewis vs. Diniz doesn’t go the gap -525

With two potent heavyweight strikers like Lewis and Diniz, I anticipate that we see a end in some unspecified time in the future on this struggle. Lewis not often has fights that go the gap when he’s matched with a fellow striker and with Diniz having knowledgeable kickboxing background, I believe we are going to see a knockout.

Dan: Namajunas vs. Blanchfield begins Spherical 5 -357

Are we ready to have a Bye Week on this one? For the primary time since we started this column, I truthfully imagine there aren’t any locks. However what enjoyable would that be?!? I believe there’s a affordable probability Namajunas vs Blanchfield begins Spherical 5. However both competitor is greater than able to ending this early. I don’t love this decide.

Mike: Youssef Zalal to win outright -333

Maybe it’s foolish of me to achieve this, however I nonetheless view Jack Shore as a bantamweight and assume Youssef Zalal’s measurement, as well as to his rising ability set, will give the Welshman actual bother on this featherweight prelim. “Mikey The Parlay Saboteur” made reappeared a pair occasions in October however on the danger of blowing a 3rd consecutive parlay, I’m going with Zalal to get his hand raised a 3rd consecutive time since he returned to the UFC.

Three-headed Monster Parlay Odds: -102 (to win: $98.17)
2024 Document: 19-17 (present streak: L2)
Whole 2024 Winnings on $100 bets: -$45.54

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FAVOURITE

Which wager with odds shorter than -200 are we most assured in? (On chalky playing cards with few moneyline favourites shorter than -200, prop bets are open to be chosen)

Aaron: Mike Malott wins inside the gap -125

Whereas Trevin Giles is a talented veteran, all six of his skilled losses have come inside the gap and that doesn’t bode effectively for him towards a potent finisher like Malott, whose 10 wins have all occurred inside the gap. I anticipate that Malott will discover a end at some stage of the struggle.

Dan: Brandon Moreno -175

Amir Albazi says he’s again at his greatest and that seems to be the case. However to come again from a 16-month layoff and step right into a five-round struggle with a wily veteran like Moreno raises too many flags for me. Moreno has been to the highest of this division and is decided to get again there once more. I anticipate him to discover a manner to get his hand raised on Saturday in a detailed struggle.

Mike: Caio Machado -150

The brand new-look Caio Machado will goal to set up himself as a brand new identify to watch at 205 kilos after the previous heavyweight trimmed down since his final struggle. The Brazilian who trains in Canada has a pleasant alternative towards Brendson Ribeiro who has been completed by lesser competitors prior to now.

Aaron’s favorite document: 20-16
Whole 2024 winnings on $100 bets: -$313.37

Dan’s favorite document: 26-10
Whole 2024 winnings on $100 bets: +$609.27

Mike’s favorite document: 20-15-1
Whole 2024 winnings on $100 bets: -$189.39

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HUNGRIEST DOG

Which underdog on the cardboard are we most assured will get their hand raised in victory?

Aaron: Derrick Lewis +135

Lewis not often loses fights towards heavyweights ranked outdoors of the highest 10, not to mention unproven heavyweights which might be fully unranked. If Lewis is in a position to take Diniz down at any stage of the struggle, I anticipate him to reign down strikes and discover the end. I’m shocked that he’s the underdog on this spot.

Dan: Rose Namajunas +115

I like this decide based mostly on current kind and the Fiorot issue. Whereas Fiorot clearly performs no half when the cage door shuts on Saturday, I believe there could also be some clues as to how this one performs out based mostly on their earlier matchups with “The Beast.” Namajunas already has two wins in 2024 following her loss to Fiorot. Whereas Blanchfield is coming off a lackluster five-round loss to the French flyweight. I believe Namajunas is the extra assured fighter in the mean time and is greater than able to upsetting the chances right here.

Mike: Rose Namajunas +115

There are a couple of matchups on this card the place the listed underdog is the fighter I imagine must be favoured. Namajunas is certainly one of them. Whereas I’m additionally excessive on Blanchfield, Namajunas has extra instruments at her disposal to use over the course of 5 rounds.

Aaron’s underdog document: 12-24
Whole 2024 Winnings on $100 bets: -$655

Dan’s underdog document: 10-26
Whole 2024 Winnings on $100 bets: -$1,347

Mike’s underdog document: 14-22
Whole 2024 Winnings on $100 bets: -$159.76

DART THROW

What’s a longshot play with odds of +500 or longer that we like?

Aaron: Jasmine Jasudavicius wins by KO/TKO +750

Jasudavicius is but to discover a KO/TKO win within the UFC, however she is greater than able to it along with her stress on the toes and relentlessness on the bottom. Her opponent, Da Silva, has 4 UFC losses and three of them have been by TKO. Jasudavicius has what it takes to win by this technique and there’s nice worth if she does so.

Dan: Moreno by Submission +800

Earlier than you burst out laughing, consider Moreno does have 3 submission wins in his UFC profession and loads of them prior to becoming a member of the promotion in 2016. So there’s purpose to imagine this may very well be a path to victory if the chance presents itself. Albazi hasn’t been submitted earlier than in order that’s a fairly large “IF” based mostly on MMA proof. However at +800 and a few potential octagon rust on Albazi, it’s a worthwhile wager.

Mike: Aiemann Zahabi by KO/TKO/DQ +900

Pedro Munhoz has by no means been completed in his profession. Aiemann Zahabi is perpetually underrated and is the listed favorite on this matchups regardless of their energy of schedules being fully calibres. I believe there will likely be moments the place these two change energy pictures and what and accomplishment it could be to get a win over s fighter like Munhoz, particularly if it’s inside the gap.

Aaron’s dart throw document: 7-28-1
Whole 2024 Winnings on $100 bets: +$1,050

Dan’s dart throw document: 4-32
Whole 2024 Winnings on $100 bets: -$50

Mike’s dart throw document: 6-29-1
Whole 2024 Winnings on $100 bets: +$1,850

(Betting odds above by way of BetMGM, submitted at varied occasions all through week and topic to change prior to fights)

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