20 Fantasy Thoughts: Don’t be surprised if Kyle Connor wins the Rocket Richard Trophy

On Nov 3, 2024

In the event you didn’t suppose Kyle Connor was one in all the league’s finest aim scorers earlier than this season, there’s no denying it now.

The Winnipeg Jets ahead is off to the races, already notching 9 objectives and 18 factors. Whereas it’s nonetheless very early, Connor is hovering round the league leaders in aim scoring, and there’s purpose to imagine he’ll contend for the Rocket Richard Trophy in 2024-25 if he can keep wholesome.

On the subject of Connor, he has each instrument to be one in all the NHL’s most elite aim scorers. Connor has a lightning-quick launch, is efficient on the energy play with 4 objectives up to now and performs with an excellent centre in Mark Scheifele. The 27-year-old and Scheifele have fashioned good chemistry, and each nice aim scorer wants a pivot that may get him the puck in the proper spots.

What might additionally profit Connor in his pursuit of the award is that some annual contenders like Auston Matthews and David Pastrnak have began off sluggish relative to their requirements. Plus, gamers like Cole Caufield and Nico Hischier, who’ve surprised with sizzling begins, in all probability don’t have the endurance to hold over 82 video games with somebody like Connor. Then there’s Sam Reinhart, who continues to feast on a ridiculously excessive taking pictures share that I nonetheless suppose will come down finally. Nikita Kucherov has additionally discovered the again of the internet 9 instances, although he’s extra of a distributor and extra more likely to find yourself with 100 assists than 50 objectives. Let’s additionally not overlook the 2023 Rocket Richard winner, Connor McDavid, however he’s sidelined for at the least the subsequent few weeks, which is able to hinder his possibilities.

The more than likely challengers for the award are nonetheless Matthews and Pastrnak, even if they’re just a few objectives behind proper now. Every of them has the functionality to get on a serious sizzling streak and it could be silly to ever doubt Matthews, who has received it on three completely different events and surpassed 60 objectives twice. The extra objectives Connor can financial institution now whereas Matthews and Pastrnak are quiet, the higher his possibilities will be.

That stated, Connor has by no means even reached the 50-goal mark, topping out at 47 in 2021-22. If he needs to be the high aim scorer this season, Connor will in all probability want at the least 60 in 2024-25 and some issues should go proper. First, Winnipeg’s energy play should preserve cooking. The Jets rank first in the league by a large margin proper now, nicely up from a 22^nd general end final yr. This group can be trying extra offensive-minded than it was a season in the past underneath Rick Bowness, at the moment averaging nearly two photographs extra per recreation than they did in 2023-24.

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After that aforementioned 47-goal marketing campaign, Connor dropped to 31 and 34 objectives, respectively, over the subsequent two seasons, hurting his fantasy worth in the course of. In the event you invested in him this yr, although, you need to be ecstatic about his begin and the way dominant he seems to be at instances. There’s nonetheless a protracted method to go till this yr’s high aim scorer is topped, however Connor unquestionably has the expertise to take the title, and he seems nearer to unleashing it over a full season than ever earlier than.

1. Hischier is already as much as 10 objectives, which is a loopy tempo and provides you a few choices. Provided that he’s taking pictures over 22 per cent and has by no means scored greater than 31 in a season earlier than, Hischier might be a very good sell-high candidate. At the similar time, even if that taking pictures share drops, he ought to nonetheless be round some extent per recreation for the season with good shot quantity and faceoff protection. You may simply maintain onto him and see the place this goes. I’d in all probability discover the commerce market, although, and if you don’t get a proposal that knocks your socks off, simply preserve him.

2. The dam has lastly burst for Matty Beniers. After recording only a single help in his first seven video games, the Seattle Kraken ahead has exploded for six factors in his previous 5 outings. Beniers was getting attractiveness throughout his droop, so it was solely a matter of time earlier than he broke by way of. He’s secured a spot on the high line with Jared McCann and Jordan Eberle, so hopefully, Beniers can preserve it going.

3. Add Trevor Moore’s title to the record of disappointing gamers up to now. The Los Angeles Kings ahead had 31 objectives final season however has solely discovered the scoresheet 4 instances in 12 video games with only one aim. He’s solely taking pictures 3.7 per cent proper now, so that ought to regress positively sooner or later if you may hold onto him. Moore additionally usually averages greater than a success per recreation, that means he can be a reasonably necessary piece if he can rediscover the offence.

4. It was a curler coaster of some days for Kevin Fiala. He was benched, then scratched for lacking a workforce assembly, earlier than lastly notching a aim and an help when he returned to the lineup. Fiala is infamous for second-half surges and often finishes sturdy. Keep the course.

5. I’m a little bit extra involved with Quinton Byfield. He nonetheless hasn’t scored but and lately went greater than three video games with out recording a shot on aim. The Kings appear dedicated to creating it work with him at centre, however proper now, that’s pushing him all the way down to the third line. He doesn’t look anyplace close to as harmful as when he performed the wing with Anze Kopitar and Adrian Kempe. I’d maintain onto Byfield a little bit longer, however he’s positively getting near drop territory in one-year, multi-cat leagues. He merely isn’t filling sufficient classes at the second.

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6. Connor McMichael has been a serious brilliant spot this season for the Washington Capitals. He’s as much as 12 factors in 10 video games and has been a key a part of a Caps second line that additionally options Pierre-Luc Dubois and Tom Wilson. McMichael lately obtained left-wing eligibility to associate with his centre distinction, so he’s now a flexible add going ahead.

7. Along with McMichael, one other Caps ahead has emerged as fantasy related. Aliaksei Protas has been promoted to the high line with Alex Ovechkin and Dylan Strome and has recorded three multi-point video games in a row. Like McMichael, he additionally has C/LW eligibility and is broadly obtainable in all leagues.

8. The Colorado Avalanche could have a really skinny backside 9, however there are not any points with their second-line centre. Casey Mittelstadt has been on fireplace to begin the season, lately posting back-to-back three-point video games and is now as much as 14 factors on the yr. Issues will probably decelerate when the Avalanche get some wholesome forwards again in the lineup, as that might trigger Mittelstadt to drop off the first power-play unit. For now, seize Mittelstadt whilst you can, as he stays underneath 50 per cent rostered.

9. Colorado’s crease is a troublesome one to determine. Justus Annunen had a very good run following Alexandar Georgiev’s struggles, till Jared Bednar gave Kaapo Kahkonen a random begin this week that didn’t go nicely in any respect. That meant Annunen began simply as soon as this week after being an incredible discover off waivers. I nonetheless suppose he’s the goalie to roster in Colorado, however there’s positively some uncertainty between the pipes. That is simply me speculating, however I’m wondering if the Avs would be keen on John Gibson when he’s wholesome if they may work out how one can make it work with the cap.

10. The flip-flopping mid-game between Linus Ullmark and Anton Forsberg final Sunday due to a skate subject Forsberg was coping with ended up having large penalties for at the least just a few fantasy matchups. Ullmark needed to are available twice for transient stays in the crease, stopping each photographs he confronted. One reader informed me they have been successful all of the goalie classes of their matchup as a result of their opponent didn’t hit the minimal appearances in internet, till Ullmark coming into the recreation flipped all 4 classes the different approach. The smallest issues can typically make a big impact in fantasy.

11. It was an enormous week for the San Jose Sharks, who put collectively a three-game successful streak after going winless of their first 9. Jake Walman has been nice, however the finest pickup of the week might need been Alex Wennberg, who totalled 4 factors, 11 photographs, a success, three blocks and 32 faceoff wins in 4 video games. I’m unsure the offence sticks, however Wennberg is on PP1 and will be an add to have a look at if your league counts faceoffs.

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12. Now that the Sharks look higher, the Yaroslav Askarov watch is formally on. He’s been unbelievable in the AHL this season, and we all know a callup is coming quickly. Each Vitek Vanecek and MacKenzie Blackwood are on expiring offers, and it in all probability wouldn’t be too difficult to maneuver one to open up area for Askarov. I nonetheless suppose Askarov is extra of a long-term worth play, as the Sharks probably received’t be constant sufficient to make him related this season, however he might have main worth in the subsequent two or three years.

13. The New York Islanders should be close to the high of the record amongst groups with the fewest rosterable skaters. New York has already been shutout 4 instances this season in simply 11 video games and, previous to Friday evening’s win, had solely eight objectives whole of their earlier 5 contests. Mat Barzal has simply two even-strength factors this season and now he’s injured. In the meantime, Noah Dobson hasn’t scored but. The Isles have had points scoring lately however that is taking it to a different degree.

14. The Toronto Maple Leafs have lastly damaged up their struggling high power-play unit. Whereas which will be good for steadiness and, sooner or later, give the workforce a spark, it’s by no means good for a person participant’s fantasy worth. William Nylander is now away from Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner, as is John Tavares with the man benefit. If I have been rostering both, I’d need them to get as many alternatives with Matthews and Marner as doable. A stacked first unit is at all times finest in fantasy.

Thoughts you, Toronto’s energy play now ranks final in the NHL, so I’m unsure it actually issues what the line mixtures are at this level.

15. After a sluggish begin, Cutter Gauthier has 4 factors in his previous 5 video games and at the least 4 photographs in 4 of these contests. As at all times with Anaheim Geese gamers, there’s good worth with them in busy weeks as a result of they play so many Friday and Sunday video games.

16. Jack Roslovic has discovered a house on the Carolina Hurricanes’ high line with Sebastian Aho and Andrei Svechnikov. He’s as much as six objectives with nice shot quantity however is just centre-eligible proper now. If he additionally will get proper wing, I might see him changing into a classy pickup off waivers.

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17. One other lower-rostered participant to have a look at is Pavel Dorofeyev from Vegas. He isn’t taking part in with Jack Eichel and Mark Stone at even energy however nonetheless has 5 objectives and eight factors in his previous six video games. Dorofeyev is on the high power-play unit, too.

18. subsequent week’s schedule, solely New Jersey, Minnesota, Nashville and Los Angeles play 4 instances. In the event you haven’t picked up Marco Rossi but, now could be the time. He’s stapled subsequent to Kirill Kaprizov and has factors in each recreation however two this yr. The Wild will even play some pleasant opponents in San Jose, Anaheim and Chicago subsequent week.

Jake Allen would possibly be value a glance, too, if you want assist in internet. Simply taking a look at the schedule, I might see him getting begins in opposition to his former workforce, Montreal, after which San Jose subsequent weekend, that are two good matchups.

The Kraken play simply twice, so it’s in all probability time to let Philipp Grubauer go. Joey Daccord is taking up the crease, and each matchups for Seattle are robust, with Colorado and Vegas on faucet.

19. It’s been a disastrous begin for Pavel Zacha. The Boston Bruins ahead has just one level in his previous 10 video games regardless of being on the high line with David Pastrnak. There ought to be each purpose to roster Zacha, as he provides you faceoff wins with LW eligibility and is taking part in with an elite participant, however he’s robust to carry at the second. The Bruins as a complete have actually been struggling, so Zacha’s general worth has taken a large hit.

20. Zach Hyman lastly scored earlier this week, although can he preserve it going with Connor McDavid out with an damage for just a few weeks? I do suppose that finally, Hyman will actually get rolling, so you might be capable of purchase low if he retains battling McDavid out. I’d put feelers out to see what somebody would take again for him if he has one other couple of quiet video games. When McDavid returns, I believe Hyman will finally have good worth.

On one other Oilers word, Mattias Ekholm has taken McDavid’s spot on PP1 for now. One thing to look at for, and Ekholm might be a very good short-term add.

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